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Current Win Probability
St. Johnstone 38.5%
Draw 27.2%
Motherwell 34.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.6%
26.9%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
26.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Johnstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
28.6%
71.4%
St. Johnstone - Motherwell Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 26. Todd M. 19. Finlayson D. 3. Diabate C. 2. Alic E. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 7. Steven T. 99. Paton R. 10. Gullan J. 9. Fowler J.
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. (C) 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 6. McGhee J. 63. Levitt D. 18. Maswanhise T. 19. Said I. 71. Hodge J. 47. Palmer-Houlden S.
Substitutes
4. Boyes M. 32. Campbell J. 23. Chalmers L. 30. Cotterill J. 14. Foulds M. 6. Mikulic B. 22. Schmidt D. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 25. Tait M.
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 27. Booth M. 17. Charles-Cook R. 8. Fadinger L. 13. Kanga J. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 77. Vogt W.
Coaches
Valakari S.
Johansson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Steven T. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Said I. ⚽, Longelo E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Levitt D. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
46', McGhee J. ↓, Fadinger L. ↑,
51', Alic E. 🟨,
51', Said I. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Girdwood-Reich J. (A),
62', Said I. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
66', Gullan J. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
66', Paton R. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
67', Holt J. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
71', Sparrow T. 🟨,
80', Steven T. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
80', Maswanhise T. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
88', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Campbell J. ⚽, Chalmers L. (A),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 8th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 2.
St. Johnstone has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Motherwell has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
St. Johnstone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for St. Johnstone: Fotheringham K.
(Red Card)
Stanton S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Knee Injury)
McGinn P.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, St. Johnstone has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:24 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Johnstone against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
St Johnstone
11
3
4
4
13:17
-4
13
10
Motherwell
11
2
3
6
13:20
-7
9
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
St Johnstone: 0.33% Motherwell: 0.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Motherwell - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Steward T. (G) 
Todd M. 
Finlayson D. 
Alic E. 
Paton R. 
Paulsen A. (G) 
Sparrow T. (C) 
Girdwood-Reich J. 
Moormann M. 
Maswanhise T. 
Said I. 
Mikulic B. 
Schmidt D. 
Bjorgolfsson E. 
Charles-Cook R. 
Kanga J. 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Vogt W. 
Valakari S. 
