The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Johnstone 58.1%
Draw 24%
Raith Rovers 17.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23.2%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
St. Johnstone will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 35. Forrester A. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 14. Foulds M. 11. Stanton S. 7. Holt J. (C) 21. Fotheringham K. 10. Gullan J. 24. McPake J. 9. Fowler J.
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 5. Fordyce C. 6. O'Connor D. 26. Stevenson L. 23. Easton D. 25. Montagu K. 8. Matthews R. (C) 10. Vaughan L. 29. Nsio P. 11. Cameron I.
Substitutes
27. Agyeman A. 22. Mallan S. 42. McAlear R. 18. Paton R. 33. Smith L. 19. Steven T. 8. Svedberg J. 39. Thomson K. (G) 2. Tumilty R.
7. Chin R. 24. Glavin A. (G) 9. Hamilton J. 14. Mullin J. 3. Wilson E. 19. Winter A.
Coaches
Valakari S.
Imrie D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Gullan J. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Diabate C. 🟨,
33', Easton D. 🟨,
37', Forrester A. 🟨,
38', Nsio P. 🟨,
38', McPake J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Gullan J. ⚽,
43', Montagu K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Matthews R. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
56', Montagu K. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
56', McPake J. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
65', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
65', Holt J. ↓, McAlear R. ↑,
73', Easton D. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
81', Cameron I. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Raith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St. Johnstone is the team to beat.
We predict that St. Johnstone will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).