Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)


	Arbroath		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.7	Watch
	4.45	3.4	1.78	Watch
	4.99	3.4	1.79
	4.7	3.59	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.83
	4.23	3.25	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.3)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
20.5%

Draw
27.5%

St. Johnstone
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Arbroath - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 20%). St. Johnstone will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 6. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 12. Stewart S. 25. Cochrane H. 17. Marshall F. 8. Flynn R. 11. Dow R. 10. Reilly G.	1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 15. Baird J. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 11. Stanton S. 42. McAlear R. 18. Paton R. 7. Holt J. (C) 24. McPake J. 10. Gullan J.
Substitutes
26. Beadling T. 27. Enem V. 18. Gillie L. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 15. MacIntyre J. 62. Mebude D. 21. Pettigrew J. (G)	27. Agyeman A. 35. Forrester A. 21. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 9. Fowler J. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T.
Coaches
Hamilton C.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Holt J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Dow R. ⚽, Marshall F. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Gullan J. ⚽, Stanton S. (A),
43', Gullan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Holt J. ↓, Fowler J. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Boyes M. (A),
58', 2 - 2, O'Brien T. ⚽, Dow R. (A),
66', 2 - 3, Fowler J. ⚽,
73', Wilkie J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 4, Baird J. ⚽,
76', Dow R. 🟨,
80', Muirhead A. 🟨,
81', McPake J. 🟨,
81', Dow R. ↓, MacIntyre J. ↑,
82', Reilly G. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
82', Muirhead A. ↓, Gillie L. ↑,
84', McAdams A. 🟨,
85', Diabate C. 🟨,
85', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
89', Flynn R. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
89', Watson C. ↓, Enem V. ↑,

Preview

Arbroath has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Johnstone is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arbroath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, St. Johnstone is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Arbroath: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
28.03.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Arbroath - Queens Park	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Arbroath - Ross County	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Arbroath - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTT
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Football Championship
28.03.26	St. Johnstone - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Partick Thistle - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	St. Johnstone - Ayr United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0
18.10.25	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	3:1
23.08.25	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	3:0
Scottish League Cup
15.08.21	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly
21.07.21	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	1:4

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