Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Pars TV Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Saints TV
Usa	Paramount+


	Dunfermline Athletic		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.45	3.4	1.78	Watch
	5.01	3.35	1.85
	4.72	3.57	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.75
	4.49	3.48	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.49)	3.38 ↓ (3.49)	1.79 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
20.5%

Draw
27.5%

St. Johnstone
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26.3%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: St. Johnstone will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oxborough A. (G) 11. Kearney S. 18. Abdulai N. 3. Ngwenya K. 31. Tod J. 10. Todd M. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 5. Hamilton C. (C) 33. Cooper J. 26. Tod A. 38. Morrison C.	1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 14. Foulds M. 42. McAlear R. 7. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 10. Gullan J. 24. McPake J. 18. Paton R.
Substitutes
14. Amade A. 4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 34. Fyfe L. 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 16. MacLeod R. 28. McLeod E. 40. Terrell B. (G)	27. Agyeman A. 35. Forrester A. 21. Fotheringham K. 9. Fowler J. 22. Mallan S. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 8. Svedberg J. 2. Tumilty R.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
45+1', Ngwenya K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Gilmour C. 🟨,
54', Cooper J. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
54', Hamilton C. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, McAlear R. ⚽, Stanton S. (A),
70', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Paton R. ⚽, Smith L. (A),
75', Morrison C. ↓, MacLeod R. ↑,
75', Todd M. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
81', Foulds M. 🟨,
90+1', Stanton S. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
90+3', Smith L. ↓, Forrester A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

St. Johnstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St. Johnstone is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Cup
18.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.04.26	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTLWW
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Football Championship
11.04.26	St. Johnstone - Airdrieonians	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Arbroath - St. Johnstone	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	St. Johnstone - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Partick Thistle - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1
08.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	2:2
19.09.25	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	1:1
Scottish League Cup
15.12.20	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
25.02.12	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	N/A

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