Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	St. Louis City		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.8	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.7	2.12	Watch
	3.18	3.85	2.21
	3.12	3.77	2.09	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	3.28	3.77	2.12	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.71 ↓ (3.85)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
29.7%

Draw
25.6%

Nashville SC
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

24.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

St. Louis City - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 91. Orozco J. 95. Fall F. 32. Baumgartl T. 2. Padelford D. 7. Ostrak T. 10. Lowen E. 27. Morales A. 17. Hartel M. 9. Joao Klauss 77. Jeong S.	1. Willis J. (G) 31. Najar A. 5. Maher J. 4. Palacios J. 28. Meyer W. 7. Brugman G. 8. Yazbek P. 20. Tagseth E. 10. Mukhtar H. 9. Surridge S. 24. Perez J.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 22. Hiebert K. 59. Joyner M. 5. Kessler H. 39. Lundt B. (G) 12. Pompeu C. 14. Totland T. 20. Watts A.	6. Acosta B. 33. Applewhite C. 22. Bauer J. 12. Bunbury T. 19. Muyl A. 37. Qasem A. 3. Schmitt T. 99. Schwake B. (G) 14. Shaffelburg J.
Coaches
Critchley D.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Orozco J. ⚽, Padelford D. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Morales A. 🟨,
61', Perez J. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
62', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
62', Tagseth E. ↓, Muyl A. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Jeong S. ⚽,
70', Ostrak T. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
70', Jeong S. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
74', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
74', Meyer W. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Mukhtar H. (Pen),
86', Morales A. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
86', Hartel M. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
90', Yazbek P. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
90+3', Joyner M. 🟨,
90+7', Muyl A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nashville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Red Card) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
Club Friendly
30.07.25	St. Louis City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	St. Louis City - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	FC Dallas - St. Louis City	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	St. Louis City - Portland Timbers	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Nashville SC
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Nashville SC - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
MLS
25.07.25	San Diego - Nashville SC	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
17.06.23	Nashville SC - St. Louis City	3:1

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