Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	St. Mirren		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.5	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.2
	1.48	4.74	6.6
	1.55	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.35	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	4.26 ↑ (3.95)	5.95 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mirren
62.5%

Draw
21.9%

Greenock Morton
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

13.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Mirren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenock Morton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Mirren - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

St. Mirren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Mirren is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Mirren won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
06.11.20	St. Mirren - Dundee United	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
10.10.20	Queen of the South - St. Mirren	2:3 penalties ✺
07.10.20	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	4:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
02.10.20	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	St. Mirren - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLL
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
07.11.20	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
31.10.20	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	3:2 ✺
24.10.20	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Greenock Morton - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
21.04.18	St. Mirren - Greenock Morton	2:1
02.01.18	Greenock Morton - St. Mirren	1:1
28.10.17	St. Mirren - Greenock Morton	2:2
12.08.17	Greenock Morton - St. Mirren	4:1
11.04.17	Greenock Morton - St. Mirren	1:4
31.12.16	St. Mirren - Greenock Morton	1:1
01.11.16	Greenock Morton - St. Mirren	3:1

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