Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	St. Pauli		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	5	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.6	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.95	5.09
	1.72	3.93	5.09
	1.62	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.62	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	3.94 ↓ (4.28)	4.91 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
56.5%

Draw
24.1%

Hertha Berlin
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 23. Treu P. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.	35. Gersbeck M. (G) 16. Kenny J. 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. (C) 6. Karbownik M. 18. Barkok A. 41. Klemens P. 22. Winkler M. 27. Dardai P. 11. Reese F. 25. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 36. Kemlein A. 21. Ritzka L. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D. 6. Zoller S.	5. Bouchalakis A. 31. Dardai M. 19. Dudziak J. 12. Ernst T. (G) 30. Maza I. 7. Niederlechner F. 2. Pekarik P. 9. Prevljak S. 39. Scherhant D.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Dardai P.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.24	Schalke 04 - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
23.02.24	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
18.02.24	St. Pauli - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Magdeburg - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	3:2 ✺
11.02.24	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli	1:2
Club Friendly
17.07.21	St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin	2:2
German DFB Pokal
25.10.16	St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
28.04.13	St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin	2:3
19.11.12	Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli	1:0

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