Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Schalke 04		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.6	2.02
	3.99	3.54	2.02
	3.75	3.7	1.83	Watch
	3.68	3.58	2	Watch
	3.75	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.1)	3.55 ↓ (3.81)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
25.1%

Draw
26.7%

St. Pauli
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.9%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	17.4%	60.9%

Schalke 04 - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Muller M. (G) 21. Soppy B. 26. Kalas T. 5. Murkin D. J. 2. Ouwejan T. 7. Seguin P. 6. Schallenberg R. 17. Kabadayi Y. 19. Karaman K. 9. Terodde S. (C) 11. Lasme B.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 36. Kemlein A. 7. Irvine J. (C) 23. Treu P. 24. Metcalfe C. 10. Hartel M. 17. Afolayan O.
Substitutes
27. Brunner C. 23. Churlinov D. 24. Drexler D. 1. Fahrmann R. (G) 18. Idrizi B. 35. Kaminski M. 8. Latza D. 10. Tempelmann L. 42. Topp K.	19. Albers A. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 11. Eggestein J. 21. Ritzka L. 26. Saad E. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.
Coaches
Geraerts K.	Hurzeler F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Two teams are playing changeable.

St. Pauli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
24.02.24	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Schalke 04 - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Schalke 04 - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
23.02.24	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
18.02.24	St. Pauli - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Magdeburg - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.01.24	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1 ET
German 2 Bundesliga
23.09.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	3:1
07.05.22	Schalke 04 - St. Pauli	3:2
04.12.21	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1

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