Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 2h 📅 Remind Me


	St. Pauli		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.10	3.70	3.20
	2.12	3.45	3
	2.21	3.85	3.2
	2.13	3.68	3.15	Watch
	2.13	3.65	3.15
	2.08	3.58	3.23	Watch
	2.13	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
44.3%

Draw
25.8%

Nürnberg
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

St. Pauli - Nürnberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

St. Pauli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, St. Pauli has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pauli against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21:12	9	18
7	St. Pauli	9	2	6	1	11:9	2	12

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 8.04% St. Pauli: 3.69%

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.43%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
23.10.26	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWTT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.26	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
16.10.26	Energie Cottbus - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Nürnberg - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:2
07.10.23	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	5:1
29.01.23	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:1
16.07.22	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	3:2
29.04.22	St. Pauli - Nürnberg	1:1
28.11.21	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	2:3
14.02.21	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	1:2

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