Match Info

2. Liga - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: NV Arena (Sankt Pölten)

Referee: Untergasser A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	St. Pölten		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.55
	2.22	3.6	3.11
	2.20	3.15	3.36	Watch
	1.96	3.55	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.91)	3.46 ↓ (3.61)	3.4 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
45.2%

Draw
27.1%

Austria Lustenau
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knett C. (G) 23. Carlson D. 18. Altersberger T. 5. Buchegger L. 2. Thesker S. (C) 7. Amoah W. 34. Krasniqi L. 10. Stendera M. 30. Young R. 22. Mane E. H. 11. Hausjell M.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 3. William Rodrigues 18. Voisine R. 26. Ibertsberger L. 23. Grabher P. (C) 6. Wade M. 24. Diarra S. 19. Delaye S. 22. Bouchenna M. 99. Lahne J.
Substitutes
77. Barlov D. 90. Dursun F. 14. Kasparek D. 21. Kleinbruckner M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 8. Messerer C. 15. Skogen S.	30. Bohm P. (G) 9. Jastremski L. 20. Koc E. 31. Maak M. 10. Ouattara I. 21. Rouquette A. 12. Vucenovic M.
Coaches
Sekerlioglu C.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Amoah W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mane E. H. 🟨,
54', William Rodrigues 🟥,
56', Wade M. ↓, Maak M. ↑,
58', Mane E. H. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
60', Diarra S. 🟨,
63', Buchegger L. 🟨,
67', Bouchenna M. ↓, Ouattara I. ↑,
68', Lahne J. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
68', Diarra S. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
69', Schierl D. 🟨,
76', Hausjell M. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,
82', Buchegger L. ↓, Skogen S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Amoah W. ⚽, Dursun F. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 2.

St. Pölten is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Austria Lustenau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Pölten is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Pölten won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
05.10.25	Austria Klagenfurt - St. Pölten	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Austria Salzburg - St. Pölten	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	St. Pölten - Stripfing	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Rapid Wien II - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
04.10.25	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien II	3:2 ✺
26.09.25	Admira - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	First Vienna - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
21.02.25	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	0:1
09.08.24	St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau	0:0
Austrian OFB Cup
01.11.23	St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau	4:0
Austrian 2 Liga
08.05.22	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	3:0
31.10.21	St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau	1:1
26.04.16	St. Pölten - Austria Lustenau	3:0
04.03.16	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	4:2

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