Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Canada	12:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
China	00:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 12
Georgia	20:45	Silk Sport 3
Germany	18:45	Amazon Prime Video, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	10:45	Disney+
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 5
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 12
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 15, Blue Sport 15, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus


	Rapid Wien		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	3.2	3.45	2.12
	3.44	3.51	2.16
	7.07	4.69	1.41	Watch
	3.36	3.58	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.6)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	2 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
24.3%

Draw
26.3%

Fiorentina
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Rapid Wien - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rapid (votes: 5 - 50%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Rapid (6.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Rapid (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fiorentina (votes: 7 - 53.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedl N. (G) 61. Demir F. 20. Ahoussou A. 6. Raux Yao S. 38. Horn J. 77. Bolla B. 29. Amane R. 18. Seidl M. (C) 90. Antiste J. 9. Kara E. 15. Wurmbrand N.	43. de Gea D. (C) 15. Comuzzo P. 18. Mari P. 26. Viti M. 29. Fortini N. 27. Ndour C. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 44. Fagioli N. 65. Parisi F. 9. Dzeko E. 91. Piccoli R.
Substitutes
23. Auer J. 36. Brunnhofer J. 25. Gartler P. (G) 51. Goschl B. (G) 47. Groller A. 17. Gulliksen T. 43. Haidara M. 14. Ndzie M. 49. Radulovic A. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 41. Weixelbraun D.	2. Dodo 22. Fazzini J. 10. Gudmundsson A. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 8. Mandragora R. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 24. Richardson A. 11. Sabiri A. 7. Sohm S.
Coaches
Stoger P.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽,
30', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
35', Kara E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽, Fortini N. (A),
57', Fagioli N. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
57', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
61', Seidl M. 🟨,
62', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Gulliksen T. ↑,
62', Bolla B. ↓, Auer J. ↑,
75', Amane R. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
76', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
76', Fortini N. ↓, Dodo ↑,
85', Seidl M. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
85', Kara E. ↓, Weixelbraun D. ↑,
87', Parisi F. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Kouadio E. (A),

Preview

Rapid has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fiorentina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Richardson A. (Lower Back Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rapid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Rapid Wien - LASK Linz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien	4:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.25	Rapid Wien - Austria Wien	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Grazer AK - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Fiorentina - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Fiorentina - Rapid Wien	2:0
24.08.23	Rapid Wien - Fiorentina	1:0

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