Match Info

National - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Stade Briochin		Caen

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.25	1.95
	3.42	3.12	2.09	Watch
	3.79	3.32	1.94	Watch
	4	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.42)	3.27 ↑ (3.12)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Briochin
24.8%

Draw
28.2%

Caen
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.4%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.6%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Briochin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Briochin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stade Briochin - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. L'Hostis F. (G) 4. Angoua B. 6. Beghin G. 5. Boudin H. (C) 24. Diakhabi S. 21. Faty M. 2. Ndiaye Y. 18. Rabuel M. 15. Raux Yao C. 10. Yobe L. 7. Zakharyan A.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 5. Dali Amar B. 27. Debohi D. 26. Etuin M. 11. Gnanduillet A. 22. Hafid M. 24. Milliner L. 23. Morante L. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 14. Rajot L. 2. Vinicius Gomes
Substitutes
22. Achahbar K. 8. Diakite M. 11. Janno S. 29. Konan C. 20. Ntumi M.	25. Bagbema Z. 7. Diakite A. 17. Labonne R. 28. Sagnan S. 21. Tome G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ndiaye Y. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Raux Yao C. ⚽, Faty M. (A),
45+2', Rabuel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Rajot L. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
69', Boudin H. ↓, Ntumi M. ↑,
74', Diakhaby B. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
75', Zakharyan A. ↓, Achahbar K. ↑,
77', Milliner L. ↓, Labonne R. ↑,
81', Morante L. ↓, Bagbema Z. ↑,
84', Achahbar K. 🟨,
85', Diakite M. 🟥,
87', 1 - 1, M'Vila Y. (Pen),
88', Faty M. ↓, Konan C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Stade Briochin is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Caen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caen could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Caen - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Briochin
French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Stade Briochin	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Stade Briochin - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Stade Briochin - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Orleans - Stade Briochin	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Stade Briochin - Le Puy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Caen - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Orleans - Caen	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Caen - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Châteauroux - Caen	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Caen - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLT

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