Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 20

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Stal Mielec		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.5
				Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.57
				Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.45
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.52)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
35.4%

Draw
27.2%

Jagiellonia Białystok
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	19%	57.1%

Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 3. Esselink B. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 10. Domanski M. 26. Hannola P. 23. Getinger K. (C) 96. Dadok R. 44. Krykun S. 17. Shkurin I.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 3. Stojinovic D. 44. Moutinho J. 14. Kubicki J. 31. Flach L. 11. Imaz J. (C) 20. Villar Miki 10. Pululu A. 99. Hansen K.
Substitutes
33. Bukowski A. 32. Gerbowski F. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 21. Matras M. 73. Niedzwiedz N. 4. Pajnowski K. 19. Tkacz D. 11. Wolkowicz K. 25. Wolsztynski L.	21. Churlinov D. 82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 23. Ebosse E. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 6. Romanczuk T. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Shkurin I. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
59', Dadok R. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
63', Kubicki J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
63', Imaz J. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
63', Hansen K. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
75', Moutinho J. 🟨,
76', Flach L. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
84', Villar Miki ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
86', Shkurin I. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
89', Getinger K. 🟨,
90', Wlazlo P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 2.

Mega Basket is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Split is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Split could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mega Basket is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 724:715 (average 80.4:79.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Mega Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 351:303 (average 87.8:75.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.01.25	GKS Katowice - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
12.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	2:0
04.05.24	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:2
03.11.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	4:0
03.04.23	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
12.09.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	4:0
04.03.22	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
11.09.21	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	1:1

Upcoming Matches