Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Stal Mielec		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.65	Watch
	2.69	3.35	2.76
	2.61	3.38	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.64	3.3	2.66	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.17)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.66 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Pogoń Szczecin
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Mielec's performance.

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 3. Esselink B. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 10. Domanski M. 26. Hannola P. 23. Getinger K. (C) 96. Dadok R. 17. Shkurin I. 44. Krykun S.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 17. Lis J. 68. Loncar D. 4. Leo Borges 32. Koutris L. 21. Gamboa J. 15. Wedrychowski M. 10. Przyborek A. 61. Smolinski K. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
33. Bukowski A. 32. Gerbowski F. 6. Guillaumier M. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 92. Kadzior D. 21. Matras M. 19. Tkacz D. 11. Wolkowicz K. 25. Wolsztynski L.	60. Bak M. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 13. Keramitsis D. 46. Klukowski A. 27. Korczakowski O. 25. Lisowski W. 51. Paryzek P. 18. Wawrzynowicz S. 36. Zawadzki J.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Kolendowicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Leo Borges 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Przyborek A. ⚽,
66', Hannola P. ↓, Guillaumier M. ↑,
66', Shkurin I. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
67', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
75', Dadok R. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
75', Krykun S. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
82', Grosicki K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
85', Getinger K. ↓, Matras M. ↑,
86', Smolinski K. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
90+1', Lis J. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
90+1', Koutris L. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
90+2', Koulouris E. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
90+5', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
90+5', Lisowski W. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.

Stal Mielec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Ulvestad F. (Yellow Cards) Wahlqvist L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.25	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	GKS Katowice - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLTW
- Pogoń Szczecin
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
09.12.24	Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec	1:0
17.05.24	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0
25.11.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec	2:3
22.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec	4:2
07.10.22	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2
18.02.22	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
21.08.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec	4:1

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