Match Info

Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Rzeszów		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.16	3.8	2.9
	2.19	3.94	2.94
	2.13	3.85	2.98	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.17	3.71	2.96	Watch
	2.16	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	3.73 ↓ (3.78)	2.96 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
43.7%

Draw
24.9%

Stal Stalowa Wola
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

24.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

23.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakowski K. (G) 2. Warczak P. 4. Synos M. 39. Kaczor M. 77. Kukulka K. 31. Thill S. (C) 44. Piotrowski B. 51. Kucharski J. 46. Lyczko S. 19. Musik M. 10. Duljevic H.	12. Piekutowski M. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 55. Oko D. 4. Furtak L. 19. Niepsuj D. 10. Walski M. 8. Thiago 26. Zaucha P. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 77. Bida B. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
9. Bala T. 52. Gujda D. 21. Kadziolka S. 14. Koscielny K. 7. Lysiak K. 27. Pena C. 11. Prokic A. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 22. Simcak M.	39. Jonathan Junior 2. Kukulowicz B. 5. Mehremic A. 21. Mydlarz M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 23. Svec J. 24. Urban D. 30. Wojtkowski K.
Coaches
Zub M.	Pluska M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ibe-Torti K. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Musik M. ⚽, Duljevic H. (A),
29', Furtak L. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Thill S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kaczor M. 🟨,
60', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
60', Thiago ↓, Wojtkowski K. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Svec J. ⚽, Strozik S. (A),
66', Lyczko S. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
66', Piotrowski B. ↓, Lysiak K. ↑,
66', Kukulka K. ↓, Simcak M. ↑,
66', Synos M. ↓, Koscielny K. ↑,
73', Bida B. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
78', Banach J. ↓, Mehremic A. ↑,
78', Zaucha P. ↓, Jonathan Junior ↑,
80', Mehremic A. 🟨,
81', Kucharski J. ↓, Kadziolka S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Stal Rzeszów has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stal Stalowa Wola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Rzeszów will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
14.04.25	GKS Tychy - Stal Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Piast Gliwice - Stal Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
13.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
09.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3 ✺
16.03.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
05.10.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stal Rzeszów	2:2
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
Polish Division 2
17.06.20	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stal Rzeszów	3:0
14.09.19	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1
Polish Division 2 - East
24.05.14	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stal Rzeszów	3:1

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