Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Płock		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.5
	1.46	4.2	6
	1.46	4.4	6.4
	1.51	4.09	6.3	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.54	4.06	5.73	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.48)	4.15 ↓ (4.22)	6.05 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
62.5%

Draw
22.3%

Stal Stalowa Wola
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gradecki B. (G) 5. Nastic B. 19. Edmundsson A. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 30. Bosnjak D. 14. Kun D. 21. Brzozowski M. 10. Al Hamawi A. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C)	12. Piekutowski M. (G) 55. Oko D. 4. Furtak L. (C) 5. Mehremic A. 19. Niepsuj D. 8. Thiago 10. Walski M. 26. Zaucha P. 23. Svec J. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
2. Custovic K. 18. Jimenez J. 22. Krawczyk P. 91. Kuchko G. 41. Lejman J. 25. Mijuskovic N. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 77. Szymanski J.	22. Banach J. 77. Bida B. 39. Jonathan Junior 2. Kukulowicz B. 21. Mydlarz M. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 24. Urban D.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Pluska M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
45+3', Thiago 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Brzozowski M. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
58', Bosnjak D. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
64', Salvador I. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Strozik S. ⚽, Zaucha P. (A),
69', Al Hamawi A. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
69', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
71', Zaucha P. ↓, Urban D. ↑,
75', Thiago ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
76', Svec J. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Krawczyk P. ⚽, Sekulski L. (A),
83', Niepsuj D. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
84', Strozik S. ↓, Jonathan Junior ↑,
84', Kun D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
84', Furtak L. 🟨,
86', Sekulski L. 🟨,
86', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Krawczyk P. ⚽, Mijuskovic N. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Wisła Płock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stal Stalowa Wola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Wisła Płock is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
31.03.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
10.03.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Wisła Płock - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWW
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
30.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3 ✺
16.03.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock	1:3

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