Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Ruch Chorzów		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4.5
	1.58	3.9	4.8
	1.63	4	4.8	Watch
	1.61	4.08	5	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.63	4.18	4.59
	1.63	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.99 ↓ (4.15)	4.78 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
57.4%

Draw
23.2%

Stal Stalowa Wola
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Bielecki J. (G) 16. Tsykalo Y. 17. Lukic A. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 25. Ventura D. 7. Kozak M. 23. Mezghrani M. 38. Karasinski S. 95. Szczepan D.	12. Piekutowski M. (G) 22. Banach J. (C) 2. Kukulowicz B. 55. Oko D. 4. Furtak L. 8. Thiago 10. Walski M. 24. Urban D. 77. Bida B. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.
Substitutes
80. Adkonis J. 24. Baranski B. 28. Borowski F. 15. Konczkowski M. 13. Moneta L. 21. Sadlok M. 10. Starzynski F. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 88. Turk M. (G)	39. Jonathan Junior 16. Lelek K. 5. Mehremic A. 21. Mydlarz M. 19. Niepsuj D. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 23. Svec J. 26. Zaucha P.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Jarosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ibe-Torti K. ⚽, Strozik S. (A),
12', 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Szczepan D. ⚽, Szwoch M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Urban D. ↓, Zaucha P. ↑,
54', Zaucha P. 🟨,
64', Karasinski S. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
64', Kozak M. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
64', Lukic A. ↓, Sadlok M. ↑,
67', Kukulowicz B. ↓, Niepsuj D. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Strozik S. ⚽,
74', Szwoch M. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
80', Bida B. 🟨,
80', Szymanski S. 🟨,
83', Bida B. ↓, Svec J. ↑,
86', Ventura D. ↓, Starzynski F. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. ⚽, Svec J. (A),
90+1', Mezghrani M. 🟨,
90+2', Furtak L. 🟨,
90+5', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Ruch Chorzów has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stal Stalowa Wola is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of home games.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
10.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw	0:5 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
09.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wisła Płock - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3 ✺
16.03.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
Polish Division 2
06.04.19	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
15.09.18	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:2

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