Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.73	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.89	3.67	3.97
	1.79	3.65	4.31	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.74	3.64	4.55	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.24)	3.63 ↑ (3.27)	4.39 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
53.2%

Draw
25.6%

Znicz Pruszków
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Stalowa Wola's performance.

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Znicz Pruszków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Stalowa Wola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Znicz Pruszków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Stalowa Wola: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stal Stalowa Wola will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Piekutowski M. (G) 55. Oko D. 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 19. Niepsuj D. 30. Wojtkowski K. 10. Walski M. 26. Zaucha P. 23. Svec J. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.	12. Misztal P. (C) 6. Pawlik M. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 29. Borecki M. 80. Plewka P. 30. Nowak W. 11. Moskwik P. 9. Majewski R. 19. Karol M.
Substitutes
77. Bida B. 6. Gvozdenovic B. 39. Jonathan Junior 2. Kukulowicz B. 21. Mydlarz M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 8. Thiago 24. Urban D.	44. Gora L. 13. Imai K. 17. Kazimierczak A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 8. Proczek T. 77. Romanowski P. 21. Stanclik D. 22. Tabara K.
Coaches
Pluska M.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Oko D. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Sokol D. ⚽, Koprowski O. (A),
37', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
37', Nowak W. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Thiago ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Nowak W. ⚽,
57', Karol M. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
58', Svec J. ↓, Jonathan Junior ↑,
68', Walski M. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Nowak W. ⚽,
74', Majewski R. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
80', Zaucha P. ↓, Urban D. ↑,
80', Niepsuj D. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
82', Oko D. 🟨,
83', 0 - 4, Stanclik D. (Pen),
84', Sokol D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
84', Plewka P. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Stanclik D. ⚽, Tabara K. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
03.05.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
09.04.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLTWL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
03.05.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	2:3 ✺
21.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
Polish Division 2
23.11.19	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
03.08.19	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:1
04.05.19	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
18.10.18	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2
18.04.18	Stal Stalowa Wola - Znicz Pruszków	2:0

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