Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Stamford		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.05	1.45
	4.91	3.71	1.63
	5.65	4.31	1.51	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.62
	6.24	4.05	1.44
	4.75	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.12)	3.86 ↑ (3.84)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
17.1%

Draw
23.7%

Needham Market
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24.2%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.6%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stamford's form might have worsened.

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Needham Market's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Stamford - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Lobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stamford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stamford has had a series of away games.

In this match, Needham is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Stamford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28:19	9	23
22	Stamford	13	0	1	12	3:35	-32	1

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Needham Market: 0.9% Stamford: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
20.01.26	Stamford - Sudbury Town	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worcester City - Stamford	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Harborough Town - Stamford	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
15.12.25	Redditch United - Stamford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLL
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Needham Market - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Leiston - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Needham Market - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Needham Market - Stamford	4:1
09.04.24	Needham Market - Stamford	0:3
24.10.23	Stamford - Needham Market	0:3

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