Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Stamford		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.15	2.25
	3.07	3.18	2.25
	3.01	3.4	2.26	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.2
	3.01	3.13	2.23
	3	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.48)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
30.6%

Draw
28.8%

Stourbridge
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stamford's form might have worsened.

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stamford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Stamford - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cooke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Etheridge W. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 4.

Stamford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stourbridge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stamford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stamford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stourbridge: 0.39% Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Last Results with these Odds

Stourbridge - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
03.02.26	Quorn - Stamford	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stamford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Stamford - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Stamford - Sudbury Town	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worcester City - Stamford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LTWWW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
31.01.26	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Stourbridge - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Stourbridge - Quorn	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:3
28.12.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	0:2
17.08.24	Stamford - Stourbridge	1:0
03.02.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:1
23.09.23	Stamford - Stourbridge	3:0
English NPL Premier Division
04.04.16	Stourbridge - Stamford	2:0
09.01.16	Stamford - Stourbridge	2:2

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