Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	2.02	3.4	3.05
	1.97	3.6	3.27	Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.41	Watch
	1.79	3.6	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	3.35 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
47.7%

Draw
25.4%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Star Starachowice - Podlasie Biała Podlaska Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Star Starachowice will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Urbanski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
88', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

Star Starachowice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Biała Podlaska is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Star Starachowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Star Starachowice might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Star Starachowice won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10:13	-3	12
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.26	Czarni Połaniec - Star Starachowice	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	5:2 ✺
01.05.26	Star Starachowice - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWW
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.05.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Stal Kraśnik	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:5 ✺
08.05.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.11.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:1
12.04.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	1:1
14.09.24	Star Starachowice - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0
10.05.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	0:3
14.10.23	Star Starachowice - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1

Upcoming Matches