The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 46.2%
Draw 29.4%
Arbroath 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
28.6%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
28.4%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenhousemuir's performance.
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arbroath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stenhousemuir that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arbroath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Stenhousemuir - Arbroath Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
1X2 - Stenhousemuir (1.91) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 8. Robson F. 37. MacIntyre O. 21. Hodgkiss L. 11. O'Donnell L. 10. Shinnie A.
1. McAdams A. (G) 12. Stewart S. 16. Watson C. 26. Mackie S. 4. Paterson B. 20. Constable S. 8. Flynn R. (C) 25. MacIntyre J. 14. McKenna M. 23. Bonnar J. 24. Molotnikov R.
Substitutes
4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 39. Gillies M. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 26. Jamieson N. 22. Kargbo H. 7. O'Reilly E. 28. Penman C. 20. Stevenson G.
6. Beadling T. 18. Beattie C. 19. Daly C. 11. Dow R. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 15. McGill S. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 9. Winter A.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Hamilton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, O'Donnell L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bonnar J. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
62', Mackie S. 🟨,
62', Hodgkiss L. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
62', O'Donnell L. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
63', Molotnikov R. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
69', Shinnie A. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
70', Robson F. ↓, Gillies M. ↑,
72', Paterson B. 🟨,
78', Bright S. 🟨,
81', McKenna M. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
83', Meechan R. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
86', Penman C. 🟨,
90+5', Gillies M. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Premiership and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 3.
Stenhousemuir is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Arbroath have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Stenhousemuir for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Stenhousemuir has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1.7:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stenhousemuir against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Arbroath: 1.23%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stenhousemuir
8
7
1
0
12:2
10
22
7
Arbroath
9
3
2
4
6:13
-7
11
Last Results with these Odds
Stenhousemuir - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
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Jamieson D. (G) 
Kargbo H. 
Beadling T. 
