Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Referee: Hay J. (Sco)


	Stenhousemuir		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.10
	2.00	3.20	3.20
	2.02	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.23	3.30	3.61
	1.99	3.5	3.64	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.55
	2.17	3.49	3.28	Watch
	2.08	3.30	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.2)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)	3.4 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
44.5%

Draw
28.2%

Greenock Morton
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton Predictions

Users Predictions: Stenhousemuir will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 14. Bilham K. 8. Robson F. 17. Anderson M. 28. Penman C. 21. Hodgkiss L. 11. O'Donnell L. 15. Carrick D.	1. Harrison E. (G) 35. Black D. 6. Moore K. 52. Fairnie L. 28. Murphy L. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 27. Wilson I. 7. Garrity M. 47. Cochrane H. 20. Sandilands C. 10. Brophy E.
Substitutes
4. Buchanan G. 6. Graham A. 24. Grant L. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. . Scally S. 22. Shinnie A. 20. Stevenson G.	37. Burgess C. 25. Carse M. 40. Greenock A. 31. Kinnear B. (G) 36. Lang H. 11. Mcluckie B. 29. O'Halloran M. 39. Okunzuwa O. 30. O’Toole J.
Coaches
Bartley M.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Cochrane H. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
45', Bilham K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bilham K. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
46', Wilson I. ↓, Carse M. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, O'Donnell L. (A),
63', Fairnie L. 🟨,
66', Murphy L. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
77', Carrick D. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
77', Hodgkiss L. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
77', Robson F. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
81', Brophy E. ↓, Greenock A. ↑,
81', Garrity M. ↓, O’Toole J. ↑,
85', O'Donnell L. ↓, Grant L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Stevenson G. ⚽, Penman C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1.

Stenhousemuir is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greenock has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stenhousemuir could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Stenhousemuir will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Morton: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	8	7	1	0	12:2	10	22
10	Morton	9	0	1	8	5:17	-12	1

Last Results with these Odds

Stenhousemuir - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Greenock Morton - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Partick Thistle - Stenhousemuir	2:3 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Brechin City - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 TWWWW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	East Fife - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Greenock Morton - Linlithgow Rose	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	4:0
Scottish League Cup
15.07.25	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	3:0
21.07.18	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	2:0
Club Friendly
01.07.17	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	0:3
Scottish League One
11.04.15	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	3:2
10.01.15	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:3
22.11.14	Greenock Morton - Stenhousemuir	3:1

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