Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 20

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.33
	1.93	3.3	4
	1.9	3.25	4.25
	1.93	3.3	3.85
	1.96	3.45	4.26
	1.88	3.3	4.2
	1.92	3.54	4.3	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.34 ↑ (3.27)	4.12 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
49%

Draw
28.2%

Barrow
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Stevenage Borough - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (44 of 56 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.82% – 89.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 3 (14.54%), has project points - 79, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Barrow has the most likely position - 5 (8.17%), has project points - 71, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 12, importance 56, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Stevenage is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barrow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English FA Cup
26.11.22	King`s Lynn Town - Stevenage Borough	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Arsenal U21	3:2 ✺
English League Two
19.11.22	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Charlton Athletic	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWL
- Barrow
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Bolton Wanderers - Barrow	3:2 ✺
English League Two
19.11.22	Barrow - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Crawley Town - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Barrow - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.11.22	Barrow - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.02.22	Barrow - Stevenage Borough	0:0
07.08.21	Stevenage Borough - Barrow	1:0
27.03.21	Stevenage Borough - Barrow	2:1
12.09.20	Barrow - Stevenage Borough	1:1

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