Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45
	2.95	3.1	2.4
	3	3.05	2.45
	2.9	3.15	2.42
	3.01	3.28	2.53
	2.9	3.2	2.45
	3	3.32	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)	3.18 ↑ (3.09)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
31.9%

Draw
29.7%

Stevenage Borough
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Grimsby has the most likely position - 14 (7.59%), has project points - 60, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (13.66%), has project points - 80, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 38, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.

Recent matches Grimsby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stevenage is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stevenage will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
12.11.22	Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.11.22	Grimsby Town - Manchester City U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Grimsby Town - Plymouth Argyle	5:1 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Hartlepool United - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Barrow - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
12.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Charlton Athletic	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Gateshead - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Colchester United - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.01.21	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	1:2
31.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Grimsby Town	0:0
28.01.20	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	3:1
12.10.19	Stevenage Borough - Grimsby Town	2:1
06.04.19	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	0:2
22.09.18	Stevenage Borough - Grimsby Town	1:0
30.03.18	Grimsby Town - Stevenage Borough	0:0

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