The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 34.7%
Draw 27.6%
Plymouth Argyle 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.2%
28.5%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
28.1%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Plymouth will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Setford T. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 28. Mellon M. 23. Thompson L. 8. Phillips D. 27. Broggio B. 10. Kemp D. 9. Magennis J.
1. Cooper M. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 15. Mitchell A. 22. Hartridge A. 45. Harding W. 11. Curtis R. 19. Bakinson T. 7. White H. 14. Irow O. 9. Evans W. 27. Pepple A.
Substitutes
12. Barden D. (G) 20. Campbell C. 16. Casey K. 44. Patterson P. 18. Sanderson O. 4. Taylor T. 19. Turhan T.
10. Amaechi X. 23. Ibrahim B. 3. MacKenzie J. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 21. Storer J. (G) 17. Watts C.
Coaches
Revell A.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Curtis R. 🟨,
7', Thompson L. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Mellon M. ⚽, Magennis J. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Magennis J. ⚽,
33', Revell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Curtis R. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
46', Irow O. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
64', Broggio B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
64', Mellon M. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
74', Thompson L. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
76', Edwards J. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
76', Bakinson T. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Patterson P. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
87', Hartridge A. ↓, Pleguezuelo J. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Plymouth: Baidoo M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Boateng M.
(Knee Injury)
Edwards J.
(Inactive)
Oseni O.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Stevenage: Roberts J.
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stevenage against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Plymouth
13
7
1
5
21:19
2
22
13
Stevenage
11
4
3
4
15:11
4
15
Outrights of English League One for now
Plymouth: 7.4% Stevenage: 1.36%
Last Results with these Odds
Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Plymouth Argyle - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Setford T. (G) 
James-Wildin L. 
Vancooten T. 
Mellon M. 
Thompson L. 
Phillips D. 
Magennis J. 
Harding W. 
Curtis R. 
Pepple A. 
Turhan T. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Watts C. 
