The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 55.4%
Draw 25.4%
Rochdale 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
26.6%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
28%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rochdale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Stevenage Borough - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 61.6% – 88.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Stevenage has the most likely position - 14 (5.09%), has project points - 63, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 22 (6.31%), has project points - 56, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality10, small importance19, small match rating14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Stevenage is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Rochdale is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.
Recently Rochdale have a series of home games.
In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Stevenage to win the game is with odds 1.93.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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