Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.35	3.2	3.15
	2.3	3.15	3.05
	2.36	3.28	3.29
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.34	3.4	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.01)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.18 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
41%

Draw
29.3%

Rochdale
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Gillingham - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: Gillingham will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gillingham has the most likely position - 7 (5.37%), has project points - 65, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 12 (5.05%), has project points - 61, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 23, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2.

Gillingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
30.07.22	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Southend United - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
16.07.22	Gillingham - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
02.07.22	Folkestone Invicta - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
English League One
30.04.22	Gillingham - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
30.07.22	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Rochdale - Port Vale	2:3 ✺
19.07.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:4 ✺
09.07.22	Chester - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
English League Two
07.05.22	Newport County - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.01.21	Gillingham - Rochdale	2:2
19.12.20	Rochdale - Gillingham	1:4
25.01.20	Rochdale - Gillingham	2:2
29.12.19	Gillingham - Rochdale	1:0
30.03.19	Gillingham - Rochdale	1:1
15.09.18	Rochdale - Gillingham	3:0
13.01.18	Gillingham - Rochdale	2:1

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