Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Rochdale		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.25	3.3	3.15
	2.28	3.3	2.95
	2.31	3.44	3.24
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.3	3.54	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.05)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.1 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
41.4%

Draw
28.1%

Crewe Alexandra
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Rochdale has the most likely position - 11 (5.07%), has project points - 64, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Crewe has the most likely position - 13 (5.13%), has project points - 61, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 11, small importance 20, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 1.

Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Rochdale - Port Vale	2:3 ✺
19.07.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:4 ✺
09.07.22	Chester - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
English League Two
07.05.22	Newport County - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL
- Crewe Alexandra
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Crewe Alexandra - Rotherham United	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Crewe Alexandra - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
12.07.22	Halesowen Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:3 ✺
09.07.22	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
05.07.22	Macclesfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.04.21	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	1:1
09.01.21	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	3:3
16.02.16	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	2:2
06.02.16	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	2:0
03.03.15	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	4:0
English EFL Trophy
02.09.14	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	0:3
English League One
19.08.14	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	2:5

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