Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.5	4.15	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.26	6.31
	1.60	3.86	5.40	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.8
	1.57	4.1	5.81	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	4.06 ↑ (4)	5.93 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
61.1%

Draw
23.1%

Burton Albion
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Stockport County - Burton Albion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 2 - 50%). Burton (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 33. Hills B. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 2. O'Keeffe C. 21. Moxon O. 26. Norwood O. (C) 3. Dodgson O. 11. Mothersille M. 7. Diamond J. 9. Lowe N.	21. Amissah J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 6. Sibbick T. 3. Armer J. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 23. Revan S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
22. Andresson B. 23. Andrew D. 27. Bailey O. 10. Fevrier J. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 19. Wootton K.	26. Delap F. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 22. Larsson J. 18. Moon J. 11. Tavares F. 19. Williams D.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Godwin-Malife U. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
31', Hills B. 🟥,
37', Mothersille M. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
38', Lowe N. ↓, Wootton K. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
46', Dodgson O. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
54', Fevrier J. 🟨,
58', Pye E. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Diamond J. ⚽, Wootton K. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Norwood O. ⚽,
82', Webster C. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
82', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
82', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
83', Armer J. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
89', Fevrier J. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
90+1', Moxon O. 🟨,
90+3', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stockport is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Bate L. (Injury) Camps C. (Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury) Hoskonen A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
19.08.25	Stockport County - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Leyton Orient - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	3:1 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWW
- Burton Albion
English League Cup
19.08.25	Tranmere Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
16.08.25	Burton Albion - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Barnsley - Burton Albion	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Burton Albion - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.03.25	Stockport County - Burton Albion	2:1
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3

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