Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)


	Stevenage Borough		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.25
	1.9	3.4	4.71
	1.88	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.85	3.34	4.43	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	4.3 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
50.4%

Draw
27.8%

Barnsley
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Stevenage Borough - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Stevenage (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 17. Pattenden J. 23. Thompson L. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 25. Phillips M. 19. Reid J.	1. Goodman O. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 18. Banks S. 22. Kelly P. 19. Cleary R. 9. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 3. Butler D. 20. Campbell C. 4. Houghton J. 30. Lubala B. 44. Patterson P. 6. Sweeney D.	39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 17. Gent G. 20. Lennon C. 50. Nwakali K. 7. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A.
Coaches
Revell A.	Hourihane C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kemp D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', de Gevigney M. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
46', Banks S. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
46', Shepherd J. ↓, Gent G. ↑,
72', Bland J. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
80', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
85', Connell L. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
85', Reid J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
90+5', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to international match.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stevenage will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Stevenage: Reid J. (Injury) Young J. (Injury)

There will not play in Barnsley: Bland J. (Muscle Injury) Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury) Roberts M. (Groin Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Stevenage: 2.21% Barnsley: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11:8	3	9
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7:12	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
18.04.26	Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stevenage Borough - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWT
- Barnsley FC
English League One
18.04.26	Barnsley - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Port Vale - Barnsley	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rotherham United - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Burton Albion - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
31.01.26	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	3:1
25.01.25	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	0:1
14.09.24	Stevenage Borough - Barnsley	3:0
09.04.24	Stevenage Borough - Barnsley	2:1
23.12.23	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	2:1

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