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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 30.3%
Draw 29.7%
Stevenage Borough 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
29.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
29%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 3 - 6.8%). Stevenage will win (votes: 38 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 76.3% – 96.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 5. Pearson M. 6. McGrath J. 16. Nixon T. 8. Broadbent G. 4. Bailey O. (C) 20. Robinson D. 23. Senior J. 9. Hanlan B. 18. Lee E.
1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 10. Kemp D. 23. Thompson L. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 25. Phillips M. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
47. Adelakun H. 1. Clark Z. (G) 15. Clifton H. 25. McCann B. 14. Sharp B. 2. Sterry J. 40. Williams K.
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 3. Butler D. 20. Campbell C. 4. Houghton J. 26. Knight J. 30. Lubala B. 6. Sweeney D.
Coaches
McCann G.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽,
45+3', McGrath J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Grehan S. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
46', Lee E. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
46', Nixon T. ↓, Sterry J. ↑,
60', Earley S. 🟨,
67', Earley S. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Sharp B. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
72', Senior J. 🟨,
76', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
76', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
77', Robinson D. ↓, McCann B. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.
Doncaster has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stevenage is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Doncaster: Molyneux L.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Sharp B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Freestone L.
(Inactive)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
United-kingdom
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Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Grehan S. 
Pearson M. 
Robinson D. 
Thompson L. 
Phillips M. 
Lubala B. 
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