Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.4
	2.87	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.61	3.18	2.47
	2.54	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.36)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	2.46 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
34.3%

Draw
28.7%

Guiseley
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guiseley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Owen E. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Rawson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Owen E. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, Christie-Crainie A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guiseley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stocksbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Guiseley: 7.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLTL
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Prescot Cables - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1

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