Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Stranraer		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.4
	6.25	4.6	1.37
	7.5	5	1.36
	6.6	4.8	1.42
	6.37	4.52	1.43
	6.65	4.65	1.4
	6.6	4.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.57 ↑ (5.07)	4.72 ↑ (4.03)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
14.1%

Draw
19.6%

Airdrieonians
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.4%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Airdrieonians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Airdrieonians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stranraer - Airdrieonians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Budinauckas L. (G) 22. McIntosh S. 4. Girvan K. 5. Ross C. 2. Robertson S. 3. Williamson C. 23. Grant M. 14. Hawkshaw D. 16. Forrest D. 11. Dolan J. 24. Lang D.	1. Rae J. (G) 16. Watson C. 3. Taylor-Sinclair A. 6. Fordyce C. 23. McGill G. 15. Megwa K. 14. McMaster D. 21. Telfer Ch. 10. Frizzell A. 9. Gallagher C. 12. McStravick L.
Substitutes
1. Downie A. (G) 15. McDonald O. 21. Strachan M. 10. Walker J.	29. Cassidy J. 19. Dunlop E. 28. Gallagher G. 5. Hancock M. 43. Hutton D. (G) 4. McCabe R. 8. McGregor L. 7. O'Connor J. 11. Todorov N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 0.

Recent matches Stranraer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Airdrieonians is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Airdrieonians is a favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 37-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Stranraer won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
18.11.23	Stranraer - Stenhousemuir	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Peterhead - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Stranraer - Elgin City	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
28.10.23	Civil Service Strollers - Stranraer	0:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
21.10.23	East Fife - Stranraer	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
18.11.23	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	0:1 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
11.11.23	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.11.23	Glasgow Rangers B - Airdrieonians	2:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.11.23	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
31.10.23	Airdrieonians - Dundee United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
25.01.20	Airdrieonians - Stranraer	0:0
16.11.19	Stranraer - Airdrieonians	0:2
28.09.19	Airdrieonians - Stranraer	2:2
04.05.19	Stranraer - Airdrieonians	1:4
29.12.18	Airdrieonians - Stranraer	3:0
10.11.18	Stranraer - Airdrieonians	1:2
01.09.18	Airdrieonians - Stranraer	2:0

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