Match Info

Championship - Round 30

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)


	Raith Rovers		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.09	3.17	3.89
	2.02	3.35	3.71	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	1.96	3.13	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)	3.15 ↓ (3.31)	3.7 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
46.1%

Draw
29.1%

Airdrieonians
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 5. Fordyce C. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 26. Stevenson L. 8. Matthews R. 29. Nsio P. 10. Vaughan L. 23. Easton D. 19. Winter A. 11. Cameron I.	50. Stone H. (G) 25. Constable S. 4. McGinty S. (C) 12. McArthur C. 14. Devine A. 24. McKinnon C. 33. Hastie J. 23. Telfer Ch. 18. Barjonas J. 11. Henderson E. 7. Mochrie C. R.
Substitutes
7. Chin R. 24. Glavin A. (G) 25. Montagu K. 14. Mullin J. 6. O'Connor D. 2. Rowe J. 3. Wilson E.	26. Armstrong R. 8. Gallagher G. 10. Mahon R. 17. McGrattan L. 20. Melrose C. (G) 9. Reid A. 16. Ross C. 42. Stirton O. 15. Thomas D.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Taylor-Sinclair A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Vaughan L. ↓, Montagu K. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Devine A. ⚽, Henderson E. (A),
60', Winter A. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
62', Hastie J. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Cameron I. ⚽,
75', Barjonas J. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
75', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Montagu K. ⚽,
82', McKinnon C. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Montagu K. ⚽, Doherty J. (A),
89', Easton D. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
90+4', McGrattan L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 1.

Recent performances by Raith have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Airdrieonians has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Raith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Raith has had a series of away games.

Raith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	10	6	2	2	15:6	9	20

Last Results with these Odds

Raith Rovers - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Airdrieonians - the odds 4.27 are the expected chance of winning is 21.55%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
14.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ross County - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
20.02.26	Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWTT
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
14.03.26	Airdrieonians - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Queens Park - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.26	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	0:0
15.11.25	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	0:3
20.09.25	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	0:0
12.04.25	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:1
25.02.25	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:0
29.10.24	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	1:0

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