Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Stratford Town		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.79	3.98	2.15
	2.79	3.98	2.15
	2.81	3.62	2.13
	2.8	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.3)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	2.14 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stratford Town
32.8%

Draw
24.6%

Coalville Town
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stratford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stratford Town's form might have worsened.

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stratford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stratford Town - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stratford won 1.

Stratford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coalville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coalville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Coalville have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Stratford won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Stratford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.11.23	Redditch United - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Long Eaton United - Stratford Town	2:3 ✺
18.11.23	Stratford Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Stratford Town - Mickleover Sports	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.11.23	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Coalville Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.04.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	1:0
12.11.22	Coalville Town - Stratford Town	1:1
25.01.22	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	1:1
14.08.21	Coalville Town - Stratford Town	3:1
09.11.19	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	1:4
14.09.19	Coalville Town - Stratford Town	1:1
16.03.19	Coalville Town - Stratford Town	1:2

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