Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Halesowen Town

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.4	4.4
	1.54	4.91	4.58
	1.54	4.91	4.58
	1.5	4.33	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.77)	4.64 ↑ (3.98)	4.62 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
60.3%

Draw
19.8%

Halesowen Town
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

22.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Halesowen Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Halesowen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coalville Town - Halesowen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 5.

Recent matches Coalville is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Halesowen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coalville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Coalville won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Coalville Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Halesowen Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
14.11.23	Halesowen Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	4:2 ✺
07.11.23	Halesowen Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.02.19	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	3:0
05.01.19	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
17.04.18	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:0
31.10.17	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	2:3
17.12.16	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	3:1
05.11.16	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	1:0

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