Match Info

AUSTRIA: Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic


	Sturm Graz		Austria Klagenfurt

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.25
	1.36	5	8
	1.37	5.09	8.86
	1.38	4.87	8.41	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.37	5	8.1	Watch
	1.36	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	4.91 ↑ (4.74)	8.08 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
69.2%

Draw
19.2%

Austria Klagenfurt
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

19.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Austria Klagenfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scherpen K. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 24. Lavalee D. 8. Yalcouye M. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. (C) 15. Boving W. 18. Biereth M. 20. Jatta S.	30. Spari S. (G) 8. Gezos K. 31. Mahrer T. (C) 34. Robatsch J. 18. Salifou D. 17. Straudi S. 24. Wernitznig C. 6. Koch T. 7. Jaritz F. 9. Binder N. 77. Bobzien B.
Substitutes
38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 19. Horvat T. 2. Johnston M. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 11. Sarkaria M. 5. Wuthrich G.	2. Bonnah S. 14. Cvetko C. 29. Dehl L. 1. Knaller M. (G) 27. Kuhn J. 10. Toshevski D. 95. Wydra P.
Coaches
Saumel J.	Pacult P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Boving W. ⚽,
23', Lavalee D. 🟨,
30', Gezos K. ↓, Cvetko C. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Jatta S. ⚽, Biereth M. (A),
35', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽, Kiteishvili O. (A),
40', 4 - 0, Geyrhofer N. ⚽, Biereth M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Binder N. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
55', 5 - 0, Boving W. ⚽,
61', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
61', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
62', Geyrhofer N. ↓, Wuthrich G. ↑,
65', 6 - 0, Biereth M. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
69', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
76', Koch T. ↓, Wydra P. ↑,
76', Bobzien B. ↓, Dehl L. ↑,
77', Straudi S. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
80', Aiwu E. 🟨,
80', Toshevski D. 🟨,
82', Bonnah S. 🟨,
83', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
90+1', 7 - 0, Grgic L. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 4.

Sturm is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Austria Klagenfurt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sturm is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Wuthrich G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Austria Klagenfurt: Koch T. (Hip Injury) Kujrakovic B. (Knee Injury) Szerencsi N. (Knee Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sturm won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38:9 (average 2.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
09.11.24	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.24	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.24	Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
27.10.24	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWW
- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
10.11.24	Rapid Wien - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.24	Wolfsberger - Austria Klagenfurt	3:2 penalties ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.24	Rheindorf Altach - Austria Klagenfurt	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
17.08.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:2
19.05.24	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0
17.03.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:4
12.11.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:3
12.08.23	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	0:0
14.05.23	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	4:1
16.04.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:2

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