Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
Argentina	17:00	FOX Sports 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 5
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Borussia Dortmund		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12
	1.22	7.25	11.5
	1.22	7.3	13	Watch
	1.22	7.51	13.43
	1.2	8.02	12.94	Watch
	1.18	7.5	15
	1.2	8.05	15
	1.21	7.7	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.18)	7.54 ↓ (8.11)	13.23 ↓ (14.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
79.9%

Draw
12.8%

Sturm Graz
7.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.7%

11.9%

6.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	6.6%	3.3%

Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 54 - 93.1%). Sturm will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 86.6% – 99.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Meyer A. (G) 13. Gross P. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 5. Bensebaini R. 14. Beier M. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 10. Brandt J. 43. Gittens J. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Scherpen K. (G) 2. Johnston M. 47. Aiwu E. 24. Lavalee D. 22. Gazibegovic J. 8. Yalcouye M. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. (C) 15. Boving W. 18. Biereth M. 20. Jatta S.
Substitutes
46. Azhil A. 37. Campbell C. 42. Kabar A. 35. Lotka M. (G) 21. Malen D. 39. Mane F. 45. Meiser T. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)	40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 17. Karic E. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 32. Schopp K. 9. Yardimci E. 14. Zvonarek L.
Coaches
Sahin N.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Ilzer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
60', Johnston M. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
67', Sabitzer M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
75', Malen D. 🟨,
75', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
77', Gittens J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Malen D. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
89', Beier M. ↓, Azhil A. ↑,
90', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sturm is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sturm have a series of home games.

In this match Borussia D is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Thigh Injury) Anton W. (Hip Injury) Couto Y. (Buttock Injury) Duranville J. (Thigh Injury) Kobel G. (Hip Injury) Reyna G. (Groin Injury) Ryerson J. (Muscle Injury) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury) Watjen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Wuthrich G. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	5:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.24	Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.24	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.24	Sturm Graz - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
27.10.24	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.24	Sturm Graz - Grazer AK	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLW

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