Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Daystar Pacific


	Sturm Graz		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.1
	2.55	3.75	2.4
	2.15	4	3.1
	2.17	3.77	3.23
	2.72	3.59	2.39	Watch
	2.62	3.6	2.3
	2.22	3.75	3.08
	3.25	3.45	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.33)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	2.73 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
38.8%

Draw
26%

Bodø Glimt
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.9%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodø Glimt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodø Glimt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.5%	16.9%	30.5%

Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 31 - 53.4%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 18 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 40.6% – 66.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Bodø Glimt (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sturm (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Christensen O. (G) 23. Malic A. 47. Aiwu E. 24. Lavalee D. 17. Karic E. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 15. Boving W.	12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 2. Nielsen V. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. 14. Saltnes U. (C) 30. Jorgensen M. 9. Hogh K. 10. Hauge J.
Substitutes
22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 14. Bendra K. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 38. Grgic L. 27. Haider G. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 5. Oermann T. 8. Rozga F. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	5. Aleesami H. 8. Auklend S. 24. Bassi D. 77. Bro Hansen M. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 17. Burakovsky S. 19. Fet S. 6. Gundersen J. 21. Helmersen A. 22. Klynge A. 1. Lund J. (G) 23. Riisnaes M.
Coaches
Saumel J.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Jatta S. ⚽,
44', Lavalee D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hauge J. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
58', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
59', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
62', Malic A. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
63', Nielsen V. 🟨,
69', Saltnes U. ↓, Klynge A. ↑,
69', Jorgensen M. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Oermann T. ⚽, Grgic L. (A),
77', Boving W. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
77', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
77', Oermann T. 🟨,
87', Evjen H. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,
90+3', Sjovold F. ↓, Bro Hansen M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bodø Glimt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Blomberg O. (Thigh Injury) Gundersen J. (Thigh Injury) Moe B. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Aleesami H. (Injury) Maatta I. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz	5:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.25	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Sturm Graz - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.25	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz	5:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.08.25	Strømsgodset - Bodø Glimt	0:5 ✺
09.08.25	Bodø Glimt - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Bodø Glimt - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz	5:0

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