Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sturm Graz		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.63
	2.75	3.7	2.37
	2.85	3.3	2.6
	2.82	3.3	2.67
	2.94	3.31	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.82	3.28	2.69
	2.9	3.2	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (1.72)	3.29 ↓ (3.95)	2.56 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
33.8%

Draw
29%

Brann
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	20.8%	69.8%

Sturm Graz - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 5 - 9.6%). Brann will win (votes: 37 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brann: 58.9% – 83.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Brann (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Brann (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 63.6%) .

AH 0 - Sturm (2.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Sturm (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Brann (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 47. Aiwu E. 5. Oermann T. 17. Karic E. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 39. Weinhandl L. 10. Kiteishvili O. 11. Kayombo A. 77. Malone M.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 4. Boakye N. 17. Soltvedt J. 23. Pedersen T. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 29. Holm N. 32. Haaland M.
Substitutes
26. Beganovic B. 14. Bendra K. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 20. Jatta S. 2. Mitchell J. 8. Rozga F. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	20. Dragsnes V. 40. Eikrem J. 11. Finne B. 7. Hansen M. 24. Klausen M. (G) 39. Laegreid J. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M.
Coaches
Ingolitsch F.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Aiwu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Karic E. 🟨,
66', Kayombo A. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
70', Malic A. 🟨,
76', Knudsen F. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
78', Weinhandl L. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
78', Malic A. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
78', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
81', Pedersen T. ↓, Sande M. ↑,
81', Haaland M. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Kiteishvili O. ⚽,
90', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,

Preview

Sturm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brann's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brann has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Fosso R. (Inactive) Gazibegovic J. (Inactive) Grgic L. (Knee Injury) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury) Mamageishvili G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Brann: Castro N. (Injury) Gudmundsson E. (Injury) Hellan M. (Inactive) Holten R. (Inactive) Magnusson S. (Knee Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury) Torsvik J. (Knock)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sturm Graz: 1.41%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Feyenoord - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Sturm Graz - Copenhagen	4:2 ✺
08.01.26	Club Brugge - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLL
- SK Brann
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Brann - Midtjylland	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Slavia Prague - Brann	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Brann - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Brann - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.11.25	Brann - Hamarkameratene	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

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