Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Feyenoord		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	6.5
	1.43	5.05	7.1
	1.42	4.8	5.9
	1.44	5.19	6.33	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6
	1.46	5.37	6.85
	1.4	5.33	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	5.11 ↓ (5.13)	6.48 ↓ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
66.7%

Draw
18.6%

Sturm Graz
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

18.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

17.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	3.4%	17.2%

Feyenoord - Sturm Graz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Feyenoord (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Feyenoord will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 7 - 70%). Sturm (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (C) 30. Lotomba J. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 15. Bos J. 40. Valente L. 14. Steijn S. 6. Hwang In-Beom 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 11. Borges G.	53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 47. Aiwu E. 5. Oermann T. 17. Karic E. 19. Horvat T. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 39. Weinhandl L. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
72. Agboluaje H. 37. Berger M. (G) 39. Bossin L. (G) 10. Larin C. 43. Plug J. 16. Sauer L. 32. Sliti A. 28. Targhalline O. 17. Tengstedt C. 44. van den Elshout T. 49. van Persie S.	22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 14. Bendra K. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 27. Haider G. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 11. Kayombo A. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 2. Mitchell J. 8. Rozga F.
Coaches
van Persie R.	Ingolitsch F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Watanabe T. ⚽, Hadj Moussa A. (A),
30', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
37', Hwang In-Beom 🟨,
39', Malic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
62', Ueda A. ↓, van Persie S. ↑,
62', Bos J. ↓, Plug J. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Hadj Moussa A. ⚽, Steijn S. (A),
71', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
75', Weinhandl L. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
79', Steijn S. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
80', Malic A. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
80', Hwang In-Beom ↓, Targhalline O. ↑,
80', Malone M. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
80', Horvat T. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Borges G. ⚽, van Persie S. (A),

Preview

Feyenoord is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feyenoord is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Andreev P. (Inactive) Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Diarra G. (Ankle Injury) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Moder J. (Back Injury) Read G. (Muscle Injury) Smal G. (Hip Injury) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Fosso R. (Inactive) Gazibegovic J. (Inactive) Grgic L. (Knee Injury) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury) Mamageishvili G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Kraaijeveld T. (Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Feyenoord won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sturm Graz: 1.41%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Last Results with these Odds

Feyenoord - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.53%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.26	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:4 ✺
11.01.26	Heerenveen - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Feyenoord - Twente	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLL
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Sturm Graz - Copenhagen	4:2 ✺
08.01.26	Club Brugge - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.25	Sturm Graz - Grazer AK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Sturm Graz - Feyenoord	1:0
15.09.22	Feyenoord - Sturm Graz	6:0

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