The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz 26.3%
Draw 24.8%
LASK Linz 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
25.9%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
24.9%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LASK Linz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LASK Linz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.7%
25%
56.2%
Sturm Graz - LASK Linz Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). LASK will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for LASK: 32% โ 80.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 28. Heil J. 2. Quarshie J. 5. Vallci A. 23. Malic A. 19. Seidl S. 78. Matoshi V. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 43. Hodl J. 15. Mamageishvili G. 20. Jatta S.
1. Jungwirth L. (G) 4. Mbuyamba X. 43. Tornich J. 16. Andrade A. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 6. Bogarde M. 30. Horvath S. (C) 2. Bello G. 9. Danek K. 8. Usor M. 27. Lang C.
Substitutes
27. Balbo L. 26. Beganovic B. 14. Diakite O. 22. Helac A. (G) 10. Kiteishvili O. 30. Koller P. 21. Petrovic P. 8. Rozga F. 39. Weinhandl L.
25. Dibango Y. 23. Elfadli D. 29. Flecker F. 3. Freckleton M. 11. Kalajdzic S. 45. Kane N. 10. Ljubicic R. 18. Schopf A. 33. Schutzenauer T. (G)
Coaches
Ingolitsch F.
Kuhbauer D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Heil J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Mamageishvili G. ⚽, Seidl S. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Danek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Jatta S. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Diakite O. ⚽, Malic A. (A),
60', Lang C. ↓, Kalajdzic S. ↑,
60', Danek K. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
61', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
61', Seidl S. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
76', Bogarde M. 🟨,
77', Bogarde M. ↓, Schopf A. ↑,
77', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Weinhandl L. ↑,
82', Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ↓, Flecker F. ↑,
85', Kiteishvili O. 🟨,
85', Horvath S. 🟨,
85', Rozga F. 🟨,
90+6', Kiteishvili O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 2.
Recent performances by Sturm have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
LASK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
LASK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
LASK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Vallci A.
(Red Card)
There will not play in LASK: Adeniran S.
(Broken cheekbone)
Harakate R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now
Sturm Graz: 7.79%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
LASK
7
5
1
1
19:7
12
16
4
Sturm Graz
7
3
2
2
8:9
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
LASK Linz - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.41%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.