Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: ATV-Riesneralm-Arena (Irdning)


	Sturm Graz		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.1
	1.52	3.95	5.5
	1.57	3.9	5.2
				Watch
	1.54	4.15	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)	4.05 ↓ (4.33)	5.25 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
59.6%

Draw
22.8%

Mladá Boleslav
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

20.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Sturm Graz - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bignetti M. (G) 47. Aiwu E. 14. Bendra K. 36. Camara A. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. (C) 43. Hodl J. 17. Karic E. 11. Kayombo A. 23. Malic A.	. Floder J. (G) . Fulnek J. . John S. . Klima J. . Kralik M. . Lehky F. . Macek R. . Marecek D. . Pech Da. . Prebsl F. . Sevcik M.
Substitutes
22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 6. Haider G. 19. Horvat T. 20. Jatta S. 2. Johnston M. 10. Kiteishvili O. 24. Lavalee D. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 63. Rozga F. 21. Scharmer T. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	. Buryan J. . Donat D. . Kolarik J. . Koran D. (G) . Kostka D. . Kozel D. . Kral T. . Langhamer D. . Vojta M. . Zachoval M. . Zika J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Kayombo A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Lehky F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sturm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Sturm is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Sturm Graz - Mura	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sturm Graz - Gleisdorf	6:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.05.25	Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLW
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague	2:4 ✺
28.06.25	Mladá Boleslav - Viktoria Žižkov	3:2 ✺
27.06.25	Sparta Prague - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Mladá Boleslav - Jablonec	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Mladá Boleslav - Vlašim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.06.19	Sturm Graz - Mladá Boleslav	1:0
06.07.17	Sturm Graz - Mladá Boleslav	1:2

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