Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Jager F. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Sturm Graz		Rheindorf Altach

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.90	4.60
	1.64	3.85	4.70
	1.70	3.93	5.13
	1.63	4.12	5.09	Watch
	1.64	3.95	5.30
	1.63	3.99	5.66	Watch
	1.63	3.90	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)	3.94 ↑ (3.72)	5.09 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
57.6%

Draw
23.9%

Rheindorf Altach
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rheindorf Altach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rheindorf Altach than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach Predictions

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 28. Heil J. 21. Petrovic P. 5. Vallci A. 18. Soglo E. 43. Hodl J. 39. Weinhandl L. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Seidl S. 11. Kayombo A. 44. Weiper N.	1. Stojanovic D. (G) 27. Milojevic F. 23. Zech B. 17. Jager L. (C) 29. Niehoff N. 8. Bahre M. 6. Demaku V. 37. Bockle B. 19. Hrstic S. 10. Diawara O. 18. Greil P.
Substitutes
27. Balbo L. 26. Beganovic B. 40. Halwachs J. 22. Helac A. (G) 20. Jatta S. 30. Koller P. 23. Malic A. 15. Mamageishvili G. 17. Wlodarczyk S.	31. Antosch D. (G) 4. Bell H. 21. Brandtner J. 7. Cosgun D. 22. Eisschill Y. 9. Raguz M. 16. Rahmani R. 24. Tietietta S. 20. Yalcin E.
Coaches
Ingolitsch F.	Zaric O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Jager L. 🟨,
40', Greil P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Hrstic S. ↓, Raguz M. ↑,
57', Kayombo A. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
57', Weiper N. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
72', Greil P. ↓, Yalcin E. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Jatta S. ⚽, Seidl S. (A),
82', Niehoff N. ↓, Cosgun D. ↑,
82', Demaku V. ↓, Eisschill Y. ↑,
82', Bockle B. ↓, Brandtner J. ↑,
88', Seidl S. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
90+2', Hodl J. ↓, Mamageishvili G. ↑,
90+2', Soglo E. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Altach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sturm is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Sturm Graz: 7.79% Altach: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
08.08.26	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.26	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTW
- Rheindorf Altach
Austrian Bundesliga
07.08.26	Rheindorf Altach - Swarovski Tirol	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Rapid Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
24.07.26	Leobendorf - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Rheindorf Altach - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	St. Gallen - Rheindorf Altach	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
08.03.26	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	2:0
Austrian OFB Cup
01.02.26	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	3:1 ET
Austrian Bundesliga
05.10.25	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	0:2
30.11.24	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:1
24.08.24	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	2:1
10.12.23	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	1:0
02.09.23	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:2

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