The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Suchitepéquez 41.2%
Draw 29.3%
Deportivo Mixco 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
26.6%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.2%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suchitepéquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suchitepéquez's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Mixco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suchitepéquez than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suchitepéquez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Mixco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Suchitepéquez is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Mixco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Suchitepéquez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Suchitepéquez for this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Suchitepéquez has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
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