Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán (Mixco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Mixco		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.00	5.75
	1.44	3.95	5.7
	1.5	4.18	6.05
	1.48	4.27	6.31	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5.95
	1.54	4.06	5.73
	1.44	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	4.08 ↑ (3.45)	5.87 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
62%

Draw
22.4%

Aurora
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Mixco's performance.

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Deportivo Mixco - Aurora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 17. Cuero Fabian 26. Jerry 6. Jimenez C. 9. L. Garcia 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 21. Ruiz J. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A.	22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 17. Bajan D. 25. Diaz A. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 27. Flores C. 18. Grajeda J. 11. Ibarguen E. 52. Mingorance P. 4. Monterroso C. 9. Ruiz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Pozuelos Y. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, L. Garcia ⚽,
24', L. Garcia 🟨,
32', Mendez D. 🟨,
32', Ruiz D. 🟨,
35', 3 - 0, Pozuelos Y. ⚽,
42', Acosta M. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Echeverria Perez A. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
46', Ibarguen E. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
46', Grajeda J. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
46', L. Garcia ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
51', 🟨,
58', Ruiz J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
58', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Morales H. ⚽,
67', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Arce G. ↑,
67', Jerry ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
88', Monterroso C. ↓, Del Cid H. ↑,
89', Martinez N. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
90+7', Bajan D. 🟨,
90+8', Bolanos J. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mixco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mixco is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mixco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWW
- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.09.26	Aurora - Municipal	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Aurora - Suchitepéquez	3:2 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.04.26	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	4:0
01.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:1
30.11.25	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
20.09.25	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	2:2

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