Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	10:30	FOX Sports


	Suchitepéquez		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.10
	2.20	2.95	3.00
	2.23	3.25	3.33
	2.19	3.23	3.29	Watch
	2.09	3.30	3.15
	2.14	3.44	3.23
	2.11	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	3.18 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suchitepéquez
42.8%

Draw
28.3%

Deportivo Mixco
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suchitepéquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suchitepéquez's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Mixco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suchitepéquez than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suchitepéquez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-5%)

Suchitepéquez - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Artola C. 11. Cabrera N. 28. Corena J. 14. Diaz W. 10. Gonzalez F. 21. Icute M. 99. Montano Cardenas F. A. 17. Rivas M. 1. Secaida J. 4. Torres Chavez V. G. 18. Zamorano A.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 17. Cuero Fabian . Gomez M. 26. Jerry 6. Jimenez C. 9. L. Garcia 14. Marroquin R. 33. Sotomayor J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
8. de Leon E. 13. Galindo A. 6. Herrera D. 7. Lezcano A. 15. Madrid C. . Mejicanos A.	. Garcia E. 12. Marquez J. 5. Mendez D. . Moreno M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 22. Rocha K. 16. Urizar J. 19. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Zamorano A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Jimenez C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Zamorano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 2, L. Garcia ⚽,
52', 2 - 3, Bolanos J. ⚽,
66', 3 - 3, Galindo A. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Suchitepéquez is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Mixco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Suchitepéquez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Suchitepéquez has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Deportivo Mixco	16	8	3	5	29:23	6	27
12	Suchitepequez	16	1	6	9	18:34	-16	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Suchitepéquez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.10.26	Comunicaciones - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
24.09.26	Municipal - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Suchitepéquez - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Antigua GFC - Suchitepéquez	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
27.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Suchitepéquez	2:0

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