Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)


	Sumgayit		Karvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.65	6.3
	1.53	3.84	7.62
	1.52	3.86	5.68	Watch
	1.45	3.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	3.74 ↓ (3.86)	6.8 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
61.8%

Draw
24.7%

Karvan
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

17.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumgayit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sumgayit - Karvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cannatov M. (C) 11. Jankovic A. 80. Keffel 19. Kehat R. 71. Murata M. 75. Orujov N. 14. Pinto P. 9. Ramalingom A. 6. Rustamli R. 72. Senhadji R. 23. Vasquez R.	1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 4. Doyeni O. 3. Irankhah S. 8. Kings P. 20. Mickels J. 42. Qadirzada I. 2. Sno S. 19. Thompson G. 33. Turabov E.
Substitutes
8. Abdullazada S. 21. Ahmadzada N. 7. Ahmadzada R. 66. Aliyev R. 56. Arixov A. (G) 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 3. Haqverdi H. 25. Moumini A. 10. Ninkovic N. 97. Pashayev V.	7. Abdullayev A. 77. Abdullayev A. 18. Ahmadov S. 22. Alizada Q. 25. Bulud A. (G) 14. Cahangirov U. 10. Durrant S. 13. Masimov V. 37. Ngwisani M. 12. Rosa V. 11. Spence K. C. 32. Yunuszada E.
Coaches
Ilic S.	Hashimov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Turabov E. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Vasquez R. ⚽, Kehat R. (A),
20', Doyeni O. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
25', Keffel 🟨,
26', Jankovic A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rustamli R. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
46', Kings P. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
58', Barker I. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Jankovic A. ⚽,
61', Murata M. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
61', Orujov N. ↓, Moumini A. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
68', Turabov E. ↓, Yunuszada E. ↑,
70', Ramalingom A. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
70', Jankovic A. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
76', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
78', Mickels J. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
78', Qadirzada I. ↓, Spence K. C. ↑,

Preview

Sumgayit is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karvan has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sumgayit is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Including home match between the teams, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.10.25	Sumgayit - Turan Tovuz	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Sabah - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	İmişli - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.10.25	Karvan - Sabah	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Karvan	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Karvan - İmişli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Shamakhi - Karvan	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
18.12.23	Sumgayit - Karvan	3:1

Upcoming Matches