The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Super Nova 22.1%
Draw 25%
Liepāja 52.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
26.6%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
26.2%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liepāja's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liepāja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Super Nova - Liepāja Predictions
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 3. Iida R. 6. Emsis E. 24. Sitjakovs R. 7. Glaudans A. 8. Patrikejevs I. 9. Bamba 10. Lizunovs V.
24. Oss D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 34. Talisca 4. Martins M. (C) 2. Straalman B. 6. Rodolphe E. 5. Strumia L. 14. Gueye D. 70. Patijcuks D. 23. Haidara A. 18. Oloko E.
Substitutes
29. Baghdasaryan A. 17. Bombans G. 19. Grikovs A. 15. Kirss R. 20. Ndiaye I. 27. Pathe N. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 22. Skadmanis K. 21. Tihonovics M.
3. Iljins K. 28. Korobenko A. 33. Korotkovs I. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 22. Mushindi I. 7. Ogunniyi A. 12. Petkovic D. (G)
Coaches
Rafalskis M.
Vassiljev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
25', Talisca 🟨,
28', Bamba 🟨,
28', Rodolphe E. ↓, Mushindi I. ↑,
29', Talisca 🟨,
35', Mushindi I. ↓, Korobenko A. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Cirulis J. ⚽, Patrikejevs I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gueye D. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Patijcuks D. ⚽, Oloko E. (A),
68', Bamba ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
73', Glaudans A. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
84', Patijcuks D. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
84', Haidara A. ↓, Leite A. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ogunniyi A. ⚽, Oloko E. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Super Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Liepāja has had a series of away games.
Liepāja might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).
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Veisbuks D. (G) 
Iida R. 
Bamba 
Talisca 
Martins M. (C) 
Straalman B. 
Rodolphe E. 
Strumia L. 
Haidara A. 
Oloko E. 
Baghdasaryan A. 
Korobenko A. 
Leite A. 
Mushindi I. 
Petkovic D. (G) 
Vassiljev V. 
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